The world will hit a population of 9 billion from its current 6.5 Billion in 2050. This will largely be an older population which coupled with widespread environmental degradation will cause immense hardships in 2050.
Now this statement is absolutely factually correct but still stupid. It assumes that the world will suddenly wake up to this problem in 2050 and the issues will all come to roost in that year. The changes propsed in the piece are not going to be true one fine morning - they will instead build up from 2009 - 2050. And the homo sapiens will adapt to it and influence it in ways which may render the predictions completely false. This fact is completely ignored in predictions such as this one - which are mathematically built without considering the changes which would happen as a gradual build up of the facts being predicted in the INTERVENING period. And thats why they are stupid - they ignore the intervening period. And that is why all dire predictions made in the past about our today too have never come true.
Now this statement is absolutely factually correct but still stupid. It assumes that the world will suddenly wake up to this problem in 2050 and the issues will all come to roost in that year. The changes propsed in the piece are not going to be true one fine morning - they will instead build up from 2009 - 2050. And the homo sapiens will adapt to it and influence it in ways which may render the predictions completely false. This fact is completely ignored in predictions such as this one - which are mathematically built without considering the changes which would happen as a gradual build up of the facts being predicted in the INTERVENING period. And thats why they are stupid - they ignore the intervening period. And that is why all dire predictions made in the past about our today too have never come true.
1 comment:
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